Vasilev, Aleksandar (2022) A Real-Business-Cycle Model with Financial Liberalization: Lessons for Bulgaria (1999-2020). Journal of Mathematical Economics and Finance, 8 (1). pp. 7-22. ISSN 2458-0813
Full content URL: https://doi.org/10.14505/jmef.v8.1(14).01
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RBC_financial_liberalization_April_2022.pdf - Whole Document Restricted to Repository staff only 273kB |
Item Type: | Article |
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Item Status: | Live Archive |
Abstract
Financial openness is introduced into a real-business-cycle setup augmented with a
detailed government sector. The model is calibrated to Bulgarian data for the period following the introduction of the currency board arrangement (1999-2020). The quantitative importance of financial openness is investigated for the stabilization of
cyclical fluctuations in Bulgaria. The computational experiment performed in this paper reveals that greater financial openness increases the impact of technology shocks on output, investment, consumption, labor hours, and net exports. This amplification effect is due to the following mechanism: openness provides a cheap access to foreign funds. Unfortunately, the new results come at odds with a major empirical observation, i.e. that consumption and net exports strongly pro-cyclical; the model, however, produces a countercyclical consumption, as well as net exports. Thus, such a setup is
not yet ready to be used for policy analysis.
Keywords: | business cycles |
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Subjects: | L Social studies > L130 Macroeconomics |
Divisions: | Lincoln International Business School |
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ID Code: | 50522 |
Deposited On: | 01 Sep 2022 09:35 |
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