Future scenarios to inspire innovation

De Smedt, Peter, Borch, Kristian and Fuller, Ted (2013) Future scenarios to inspire innovation. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 80 (3). pp. 432-443. ISSN 0040-1625

Full content URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2012.10.006

Future scenarios to inspire innovation
Pre-reviewed journal article
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In recent years and accelerated by the economic and financial crisis, complex global issues have moved to the forefront of policy making. These grand challenges require policy makers to address a variety of interrelated issues, which are built upon yet uncoordinated and dispersed bodies of knowledge. Due to the social dynamics of innovation, new socio-technical subsystems are emerging, however there is lack of exploitation of innovative solutions. In this paper we argue that issues of how knowledge is represented can have a part in this lack of exploitation. For example, when drivers of change are not only multiple but also mutable, it is not sensible to extrapolate the future from data and relationships of the past. This paper investigates ways in which futures thinking can be used as a tool for inspiring actions and structures that address the grand challenges. By analysing several scenario cases, elements of good practice and principles on how to strengthen innovation systems through future scenarios are identified. This is needed because innovation itself needs to be oriented along more sustainable pathways enabling transformations of socio-technical systems.

Keywords:Reflexive inquiry, Innovation, Scenario practice, Grand Challenges
Subjects:N Business and Administrative studies > N210 Management Techniques
L Social studies > L391 Sociology of Science and Technology
N Business and Administrative studies > N900 Others in Business and Administrative studies
Divisions:Lincoln International Business School
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ID Code:4946
Deposited On:14 Mar 2012 13:03

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