Do exchange rates affect consumer prices? A comparative analysis for Australia, China and India

Saha, Shrabani and Zhang, Zhaoyong (2013) Do exchange rates affect consumer prices? A comparative analysis for Australia, China and India. In: 3rd IIFT Conference on International Trade and Finance, January 10-11, 2013, Kolkata, India.

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Item Type:Conference or Workshop contribution (Paper)
Item Status:Live Archive

Abstract

An important issue for exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) is the extent to which exchange rate changes affect the prices of imported goods and the consumer prices. The objectives of this study are to make a comparative study by exploring the literature relating pass-through for import prices and domestic prices in Australia, China and India. In particular, we test whether the exchange rate pass-through to import prices is complete, estimate the pass-through to consumer price index (CPI) to investigate whether there is any association between the pass-through and the average inflation rate across these countries. A structural VAR model is used to examine the exchange rate pass-through over the period 1990-2011. The impulse responses indicate that exchange rates have less effect in the rising domestic prices in China and India. This will have important policy implication for the monetary authorities.

Keywords:Exchange rate pass-through (ERPT), structural VAR model, Australia, China and India
Subjects:L Social studies > L100 Economics
Divisions:Lincoln International Business School
ID Code:13588
Deposited On:27 Mar 2014 15:28

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